Case file · Anomaly hotspot

BSAA Star Ariel

A second BSAA Avro Tudor vanished on 17 January 1949 in clear weather on a flight from Bermuda to Kingston, Jamaica, with 20 aboard.

1949 CE · 32.30, -64.76 · status: unexplained

The account

Star Ariel was pressed into service when another Tudor had an engine failure, took off from Kindley Field and climbed for a high-altitude flight. No trace was found. The two Tudor losses are part of the standard Bermuda Triangle list.

The sceptical view

Without wreckage the cause cannot be known; an unexplained loss over open ocean is not evidence of anything anomalous.

The researched reading

The second Tudor lost without trace in a year. A sudden failure in a troubled design best fits the facts; sabotage was suspected but never shown.

ExplanationWeightWhy
Something known, misidentified40%The Avro Tudor had unresolved design problems; investigators and later researchers point to a sudden catastrophic failure (cabin heater, hydraulics or fuel system) that would explain the lack of a distress call after a routine message.
A known natural phenomenon16%The weather was good, so weather alone is unlikely, but clear-air turbulence or a sudden loss of control over deep ocean leaves no trace.
Undetermined12%The share a generic explanation had beyond what has been shown for this case: it fits many cases like this one, but has not been demonstrated for this one.
Secret human technology10%BSAA’s chief, Don Bennett, suspected sabotage, given the earlier Star Tiger loss and political tensions in South America; no evidence was found.
Perception, memory or mind10%The loss is a pillar of the Bermuda Triangle legend, which recasts an unsolved accident as part of a pattern.
A hoax or fabrication4%No fabrication in the core facts; later embellishments exist.
A poorly understood natural phenomenon4%No unusual natural phenomenon is required.
Genuinely anomalous4%An airliner of a troubled type lost over the sea without wreckage is unresolved, not anomalous.

Official position: The UK Ministry of Civil Aviation inquiry could not determine the cause; the Tudor was withdrawn from passenger service.

Connections in the atlas

Sources

  1. Wikipedia: BSAA Star Ariel disappearance
  2. Bermuda Triangle (Wikipedia)
Open it in the living atlas