Case file · High strangeness

Kodinhi, the village of twins

Surveys in 2008 counted more than 79 pairs of twins among children in Kodinhi, Kerala, far above the national rate, and the village became world news in 2008–2009.

2008 CE · 11.03, 75.95 · status: unexplained

The account

Local doctors could not link the cluster to diet, water or fertility treatment. Twins and their families formed the Twins and Kins Association in 2008.

The sceptical view

Small-area clusters arise by chance and from family genetics in close communities; no rigorous epidemiological study has confirmed an unusual cause.

The researched reading

A real cluster of twins, probably larger in the telling than in the statistics. Family genetics and chance are the likeliest causes until a proper study says otherwise.

ExplanationWeightWhy
A known natural phenomenon40%Twin clusters occur by chance in small populations, and twinning (especially fraternal) runs in families and is more frequent in endogamous communities; a 2008 CCMB study judged the cause probably genetic, and the 2016 CCMB–KUFOS sampling has not found anything exotic.
A cultural story20%Figures grew with media attention, from about 80 to "400 pairs", and counts often include twins born to women from the village living elsewhere and adults of all ages, which inflates the rate.
Undetermined18%The share a generic explanation had beyond what has been shown for this case: it fits many cases like this one, but has not been demonstrated for this one.
Something in the surroundings8%Diet, water or chemical exposure have been proposed, as at Cândido Godói in Brazil, but no specific factor has been found.
Genuinely anomalous8%A properly measured excess, if confirmed, might still lack a known cause; no rigorous epidemiology has yet been published.
Perception, memory or mind4%Clusters attract attention once noticed (the Texas sharpshooter problem), so the "mystery" partly reflects selection.
A hoax or fabrication2%The twins exist; there is no fabrication.

Official position: No official finding; researchers say the cause is not yet explained.

Sources

  1. Wikipedia: Kodinhi
  2. Kodinhi: a Kerala village with many twins (The News Minute)
  3. Cândido Godói (Wikipedia)
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