Case file · Official inquiry

USS Nimitz 'Tic Tac'

Navy pilots and radar tracked a fast, wingless object off California.

2004 CE · 32.70, -117.50 · status: unexplained

The account

Cmdr David Fravor's account and the FLIR video were later acknowledged and released by the Department of Defense.

The researched reading

One of the strongest UAP cases: multiple aircrew and radar over days. The gap is data: without the original radar and sensor records it cannot be settled either way.

ExplanationWeightWhy
Genuinely anomalous30%Two crews saw the object visually in daylight, radar tracked it for days, and no ordinary explanation fits all of it; the raw radar data, however, have never been released.
Something known, misidentified24%Balloons, drones or distant aircraft can look small and fast to a closing pilot, and the FLIR clip taken later that day is consistent with a distant jet seen through glare.
Secret human technology18%A US or foreign advanced drone tested near a carrier group is possible, though the claimed performance exceeds any known vehicle.
Perception, memory or mind14%The detailed accounts were made public 13 years later; memory compresses and dramatises fast events, and the four witnesses discussed it together.
A known natural phenomenon6%The USS Princeton’s newly upgraded SPY-1 radar may have produced spurious tracks (clutter or anomalous propagation), and the ‘churning’ water could have been a submerged reef or whales.
A poorly understood natural phenomenon4%No known natural phenomenon behaves like a wingless body mirroring an aircraft.
A hoax or fabrication4%Witnesses are named, credentialed naval aviators; deliberate fabrication is unlikely.

Official position: The US Navy and Department of Defense classify the object as unidentified; AARO has not resolved the case.

How the account grew

A 2004 Navy training encounter off California remained an internal story for over a decade. A 2017 New York Times article, a 2020 Pentagon release and sworn testimony in 2023 moved it from rumour to the centre of official UAP debate.

YearWhoAdded
2004Cmdr David Fravor, Lt Cmdr Alex Dietrich; Lt Cmdr Chad Underwood (FLIR)A white, oval object seen for about five minutes after radar contacts; Underwood records infrared video and coins 'Tic Tac'.
2007Online UFO forum (per Wired)A copy of a video circulates online with little attention.
2017New York Times (Cooper, Blumenthal, Kean); Luis Elizondo; Christopher MellonThe FLIR video, the secret AATIP programme and Fravor's account become front-page news.
2019Pentagon spokeswomanConfirms the videos were taken by naval aviators.
2020US Department of DefenseFormal release of three videos, labelled unidentified.
202160 Minutes (Fravor and Dietrich)Both pilots describe the encounter on network TV.
2023David Fravor, House Oversight hearingUnder oath, describes radar tracks of objects dropping 80,000 ft in under a second.

Connections in the atlas

Sources

  1. Wikipedia
  2. DoD statement (via ODNI)
  3. Anomalous propagation (Wikipedia)
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