The 1995 AIR evaluation (Utts vs Hyman)
A CIA-commissioned review by the American Institutes for Research concluded that remote viewing had no proven intelligence value.
1995 CE · 38.95, -77.15 · status: official
The account
Statistician Jessica Utts argued that the lab results showed a real, statistically significant effect. Psychologist Ray Hyman agreed the statistics were above chance but said that methodological flaws, not psi, were the likelier cause. AIR concluded that the programme had never produced actionable intelligence, and it was closed and declassified. A CIA status paper faxed on 10 May 1995 shows that the Agency first planned to have the National Research Council form a 'Blue Ribbon Panel' to review the programme's fewer than 50 R&D studies and all its data, with support through the US Army Research Institute, and to brief Congress by July 1995 (p.1-2, p.4). The paper does not mention the American Institutes for Research, which in the end carried out the review.
The sceptical view
Supporters argue that the review looked at only a slice of the operational data and judged it by unfair standards.
Connections in the atlas
- The last Stargate oversight papers (1992-1995)
- Ray Hyman
- DIA's Grill Flame Project Report
- Stargate (final phase)