Case file · High strangeness

MV Joyita

A ship that left Apia, Samoa, for the Tokelau Islands on 3 October 1955 and was found drifting weeks later with all 25 passengers and crew gone.

1955 CE · -13.84, -171.76 · status: unexplained

The account

The former luxury yacht was in poor condition, with corroded pipes and a faulty radio, but too buoyant to sink. Investigators could not see why everyone left.

The sceptical view

Flooding, a failed engine and fear that the boat would sink could explain an abandonment; the people's fate remains unknown.

The researched reading

A boat found waterlogged and empty with clear signs of trouble aboard. Flooding, injury and a panicked abandonment explain it best, with foul play a lesser possibility; nothing points to anything stranger.

ExplanationWeightWhy
A known natural phenomenon40%The boat was found with a corroded cooling pipe that had flooded the bilge, a failed engine and a radio whose broken wiring limited it to a couple of miles; three rafts were gone. Fear of sinking in a flooding boat, with the crew taking to rafts that were lost at sea, explains the empty hull, which cork lining kept afloat.
Undetermined30%The share the reading had given to fabrication on doubt rather than evidence: the record does not settle it either way.
Perception, memory or mind10%Panic after the captain was hurt, with no one experienced left to judge whether the boat would float, could have led to a fatal abandonment.
A cultural story8%The case is retold as a “Pacific Mary Celeste”, with claims of Japanese fishermen or secret wartime units that have no evidence.
A hoax or fabrication5%Foul play is a real possibility: cargo and the logbook were missing, and blood-stained bandages and a doctor’s bag were aboard; theories include an injured captain and a crew conflict, or piracy. No proof exists.
Something in the surroundings4%Fumes or fire in the engine room could have driven people off, though no fire damage was reported.
Genuinely anomalous3%The physical evidence on the boat points to ordinary trouble at sea.

Official position: A 1956 commission of inquiry could not determine what happened to the 25 people; it blamed the captain for sailing an unseaworthy vessel without a working radio.

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Sources

  1. Wikipedia: MV Joyita
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